Well, this has been a busy week when it comes to news of economic significance for northern Ontario. Here are some of the items that caught my interest with some occasional commentary. Have a nice weekend!
Mining report card shows Ontario has room for improvement. Northern Ontario Business. February 28th, 2017.
According to this report out of the Fraser Institute, Ontario has dropped to 18th place globally as an attractive place to do business in a mining company survey and ranking.
Sault Locks to open on March 25. Northern Ontario Business. March 2nd, 2017.
Here's why health care funds for First Nations children aren't being spent. CBC News. March 3rd, 2017.
As is often the case, coordination and transactions costs are important elements in government and economic policy. First Nation's health is under federal jurisdiction while health care is a provincial responsibility and most health services are provided under provincial jurisdiction and therefore require travel to access if you live on a remote reserve - yet travel costs are often not covered by Health Canada.
Thunder Bay shipyard owners reveal their plans. Tbnewswatch. February 28th, 2017.
Apparently, Thunder Bay's shipyard facility - a facility with a long and storied history dating back to the early 20th century - will soon be up and running again and creating 25 full-time jobs.
New garbage limit excludes apartment buildings and business. Tbnewswatch. February 28th, 2017.
This is quite an interesting story relating to municipal public finances. The City of Thunder Bay is looking to save money by reducing the current limit of containers for residential garbage collection to two. Apparently, these changes along with others will eliminate one truck and two positions through attrition resulting in savings of $150,000. Needless to say, I am not particularly impressed with savings of $150,000 on a annual tax levy that is growing at over 3 percent a year and is approaching 200 million dollars. Reducing the garbage limit is something that has been done in many other cities but it has been accompanied by substantial expansion of convenient recycling options. This is not the case in Thunder Bay. However, what is even more interesting to me is that businesses and apartment buildings are being excluded from the limit. What this means is that residential ratepayers - who are now responsible for two-thirds of the tax levy - are seeing a 33 percent reduction in their service - while other ratepayers are seeing no change in their service level. This essentially means that residential ratepayers are going to further subsidize the garbage service collection of non-residential rate payers.
A brief history of mining in Greater Sudbury. Sudbury.com. March 2, 2017.
Check out the historical footage on the accompanying video.
Timmins economic outlook predicts population decrease. Timminspress.com, February 26, 2017.
Mayor unable to confirm possible OPG job losses. nugget.ca, March 1st, 2017.
And of course, what I think is the biggest story of the week given the energy intensive nature of northern Ontario economic activity...
Ontario cuts hydro bills by 17%, but ultimately it will cost ratepayers $1.4 billion a year more. Financial Post. March 2, 2017.
Essentially, Ontario electricity policy has become a case of either pay more now or pay more later with the distribution of payment over time a function of the temporal distance until the next election. Editorial reaction is not particularly positive. And, businesses are excluded from these hydro rate reductions apparently. Besides, I just received a letter from my local hydro utility dated March 2nd that has "re-adjusted" my monthly billing amount and in an odd coincidence my new monthly bill just went up 17 percent!
Northern Economist 2.0
Friday 3 March 2017
Wednesday 1 March 2017
Thunder Bay Airport Flying Higher
Thunder Bay Airport (YQT) has seen another year of growth
hitting an all-time high for passenger numbers in 2016 by exceeding 800,000
passengers for the first time – 807,041 passengers to be exact. Some of the recent growth has come from
the depreciation in the Canadian dollar relative to the US dollar, which has
attracted Americans away from airports in Duluth and Minneapolis. This is certainly a welcome development given that market size in northwestern Ontario is relatively stable given population trends. This is also a regional success
story and according to the Thunder Bay International Airport Authority’s
(TBIAA) own estimates generates an estimated $645 million dollars in GDP
annually and creates 5000 jobs.
And of course, one does not need an economic impact study to
see the importance of better air connections to Toronto with three airlines now
competing for your business and offering on weekdays a total of 16 flights
daily (Air Canada-6; Porter – 6; Westjet – 4). When one adds seasonal flights to tropical destinations as
well as assorted regional airlines like Wasaya and Bearskin, It is indeed a
golden age for air travel out of Thunder Bay.
The years 2002, 2005 and 2008 saw large dips in the growth rate as a result of the forest sector crisis and the onset of the Great Recession. There was a substantial rebound starting in 2009 but 2014 and 2015 also witnessed a flattening out of growth. As a result, the increase of 4.5 percent in 2016 is certainly quite welcome and hopefully represents the start of a new growth curve similar to what occurred after 2009. If this new phase of growth is being based on American travelers out of Minnesota taking advantage of a stronger US dollar then the exchange rate as well as border crossing issues will be crucial variables.
Historical Workshop This Weekend
The Lakehead Social History Institute is sponsoring a community workshop on quantitative history this weekend on Saturday March 4, 2017 at the Mary J. L. Black Library. There will be five brief presentations on research using a variety of sources from 12:30 to 2:30 and then a hands on workshop from 2:30 to 4:30. Admission is free.
I will be doing a presentation titled "Who Had What? A Quantitative Analysis of Wealth and Inequality in the Thunder Bay District Using Probate Data, 1885 to 1930." I will be discussing my wealth research using probate records and apply the data I have compiled for the Thunder Bay District to examine trends in wealth during the foundation, settlement and boom periods of the Lakehead as well as the distribution of wealth and property.
See you there!
I will be doing a presentation titled "Who Had What? A Quantitative Analysis of Wealth and Inequality in the Thunder Bay District Using Probate Data, 1885 to 1930." I will be discussing my wealth research using probate records and apply the data I have compiled for the Thunder Bay District to examine trends in wealth during the foundation, settlement and boom periods of the Lakehead as well as the distribution of wealth and property.
See you there!
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