Sunday, 20 September 2020

Looks Like a Second Wave

Ontario's COVID-19 daily case numbers have now been trending up since August and the most recent plot and LOWESS smooth I have put together shows an upward trajectory as steep as the first wave.  Moreover, it is a pretty tight fit around the trend line - little dispersion.  That could be the result of more substantial and consistent testing as opposed to the first wave, or it could mean a more persistent and ingrained wave is underway.  The only silver lining to date is that deaths have not taken a similar upward spike.