Wednesday, 1 May 2019

Thunder Bay's Municipal Tax-Ratio Challenge


One of the items at the Monday April 29th Thunder Bay City Council meeting was a discussion on tax policy and a move to bring it more in line with provincial requirements.  Namely, the province has property tax ratio thresholds and in order to meet them there needed to be a reduction in non-residential tax ratios as follows: Industrial ratio from 2.925444 to 2.63, Multi-residential from 2.422438 to 2.0, and Commercial from 2.137932 to 1.98.  This has been a process that has been underway since 1998 and partly as a result the share of the tax levy paid by residential ratepayers has been rising over time while that of non-residential has been declining. 

In Thunder Bay at present, nearly two-thirds of the tax levy is borne by residential ratepayers while the other third is non-residential or essentially business property taxation. In 1990, it was about a 50/50 split. It should be noted that the City of Thunder Bay’s financial statements now report taxation revenue without dividing it into residential and non-residential as used to be the case only a few years ago.  To get that information, one now has to go onto the government of Ontario website and access the Financial Information Returns provided by municipalities which can be quite a daunting task.  This lack of transparency on the part of the City of Thunder Bay in reporting these important numbers more directly is a disappointment.

Of course, municipal public finance can be a pretty arcane and complex issue– even for an economist - and the discussion the other evening was actually more spirited and informative than usual, all other things given.  Administration affirmed that the tax levy this year would remain the same and the changes to the residential burden would be phased in but in the end based on the short segment I observed they did not successfully allay the concerns of councilors that residential taxes could rise even if the tax levy stayed the same.  Indeed, the emphasis that the tax levy is going to remain the same this year did not deal with the concern that taxes for residential will rise more than they otherwise might in future.  How can this be?


Essentially, the purpose of tax ratios is to distribute taxes relative to residential properties which are set equal to “1.” So, if a business property has a tax ratio of 2, that means it would pay twice the amount of municipal taxes than a similarly valued residential property.  This is seen as an issue of “fairness” that was addressed in 1998 with the Fair Municipal Finance Act (Bill 79) and the province has set ranges within which these ratios should lie, and the proposed changes are designed to eventually get Thunder Bay there.  For example, the provincial range for commercial for example is supposed to be between 0.6 and 1.1 so you can see that even at 1.98, Thunder Bay has a way to go (See the accompanying table for a list of ratios).  Part of Thunder Bay’s issue is that much of its municipal spending was based on a rich industrial and commercial tax base given the large grain and forest industrial sectors but their decline over the last 30 years has reduced the non-residential base, but spending has continued to grow.

 

What does this mean?  Even if municipal tax levies are kept at growth rates at the rate of inflation, residential rate payers will pay a larger share of that increase – over time.  If the total tax levy grows by say 2 percent, the increase to the residential ratepayer will actually grow by more to offset the impact of the shift away from non-residential taxation.  This of course also means that the total share of the tax levy paid by residential ratepayers will grow beyond the current approximately two-thirds share.  It should be noted that the shift to residential is something underway across the provinces and not unique to Thunder Bay.  In the end, somebody does have to pay taxes if municipal services are to be provided, and so the question is one of what the balance should be across classes of properties.  Unfortunately, that question appears to have been answered in 1998 and is still being implemented.

What to do?  One comment raised during the meeting suggested that these tax ratios were a one-size fits all policy from Ontario and that more leeway needed to be provided to northern Ontario municipalities.  That may well be the case, but this policy has been in place for 20 years now and there has been ample transition time.   Saying the rates are going to have to be changed for the north as a special case will not be well received at Queen’s Park given there are similar issues affecting municipalities especially outside the GTA.  The more unpalatable answer is pretty obvious.  The only way to keep residential taxes in Thunder Bay from rising more than they have to is a greater effort is to restrain expenditure growth and perhaps even look at reductions for some areas.  This is why Thunder Bay needs a thorough and long overdue organization and service review at the municipal level.